Chase Discussion Part I

After The Dust Finally Settles from Talladega 3 days after, We Know who will be in the Eliminator Eight and we can begin to predict who will be in the final four. I made a new chase grid as you can see to the left and remember these are strictly my picks on average finishes and who's been good as of late. No more Superspeedways to deal with so we cut it down to Short Tracks and Intermediates. Below I will state my predictions and look at average finishes at each track.

Martinsville

Martinsville is one of those tracks that there are favorites but really its just an act of surrvival. There is honsestly no place to hide in the paper clip and that shows by the black marks and missing parts on race cars.This place doesn't only test Brakes it also test Radiators because if you can leave Martinsville with a radiator still in tact you have a good shot at winning. Past winners Denny Hamlin and Dale Earnhardt Jr are eliminated so the last winner who is in the chase is Kurt Busch who won here in the spring of 2014. 

Winner - Brad Keselowski or Carl Edwards                                        

Averages - Kyle Busch (15.65)

                   Kurt Busch (21.07)

                   Joey Logano (13.15)

                   Brad Keselowski (14.00)

                   Carl Edwards (15.95)

                   Jeff Gordon (6.89)

                   Martin Truex Jr. (22.21)

                   Kevin Harvick (16.14)

Texas

Texas is really the only Night Race of this round and since Charlotte was rained out will be the only Night Race of the Chase. Tempers have flared at this track and Jimmie Johnson has won this race 2 years in a row but he's eliminated. This is where the chase will begin to get interesting and maybe even at a boiling point but I see another chaser winning here and this chaser has won here before and will return Coach Joe Gibbs to victory lane.

Winner - Carl Edwards or Brad Keselowski

Averages - Kyle Busch (12.89)

                   Kurt Busch (15.88)

                   Joey Logano (16.93)

                   Brad Keselowski (17.29)

                   Carl Edwards (14.95)

                   Jeff Gordon (17.28)

                   Martin Truex Jr. (15.05)

                   Kevin Harvick (12.68)

Phoenix

Land Of The Sun is where I see Tempers Over Flowing into Victory Lane. Remember Joey Logano's move on Matt Kenseth in Kansas I see Joey doing the same to The Guy who has just been flawless at Phoenix and his name is Kevin Harvick I see both going in in must win situations and Joey moving Kevin out of the way to move onto the championship round. If not Joey i see someone moving Kevin out of the way for the Win. 

Winner - Joey Logano or Martin Truex Jr.

Averages - Kyle Busch (14.30)

                   Kurt Busch (13.92)

                   Joey Logano (14.54)

                   Brad Keselowski (13.92)

                   Carl Edwards (12.27)

                   Jeff Gordon (10.91)

                   Martin Truex Jr. (17.11)

                   Kevin Harvick (10.96)

Homestead

True last season the winner won the championship but I don't see it this season. Homestead is the only track left that we have not raced at in 2015 so I see a first time winner of 2015 at Homestead.

Winner - Greg Biffle or Jeff Gordon

Averages - Kyle Busch (23.10)

                   Kurt Busch (19.21)

                   Joey Logano (20.00)

                   Brad Keselowski (15.00)

                   Carl Edwards (9.09)

                   Jeff Gordon (10.56)

                   Martin Truex Jr. (10.00)

                   Kevin Harvick (7.57)